Column: The only thing we can predict in politics is that we’ll be surprised
Target: Paris. More than 130 die in a terrorist attack on a Friday night in November. No one sees it coming. Global panic ensues.
Suddenly the nation debates the future of the Syrian refugee program. Terrorism jumps to the front of voters’ minds. National security becomes the defining issue of the 2016 election. No one sees that coming, either.
Around two weeks after the Paris attack, Turkey shoots down a Russian fighter over Syria. Vladimir Putin calls it a “stab in the back” and sends more forces to the region. Barack Obama pleads for calm. Trending on Twitter: World War III. Continue reading
“Armed attack” robots that carry rifles and grenade launchers have been unveiled in China as the latest line of defence in the fight against “global terror”, state media reported.
A small follow-up article from a previous post:
Beijing: China has announced plans to establish its first overseas military outpost in the Horn of Africa nation of Djibouti, amid a sweeping overhaul of its military designed to make the world’s largest army better equipped to project force abroad.
China’s Defence Ministry refrained from calling the new installation a military base, instead saying the construction of “military supporting facilities” would help provide logistical support for Chinese peacekeeping and anti-piracy patrols in the Gulf of Aden. But analysts say the facility has potential to become a platform for operations in Africa and the Middle East. Continue reading
This post is intended to highlight the growing Russian threat, as opposed to boasting about capability, as found on this state-run (FSB/Kremlin) source. The fact that they boast about it proves they’re ready to take the mask off and reveal their true intentions. It also serves to address the widespread belief that the U.S. is prepared, holds the absolute advantage and Tom Cruise from Top Gun is here to save them. The last two are utterly and absolutely false, whereas prepardness is 75% eroded. The U.S. has lulled itself to sleep and refuses to believe Russia’s intentions of going to war with it, no matter how much proof is brought before it.
According to the article, many in the West tend to think that Russian hardware is second-rate, and that if the Russians make anything good, they must have copied it from the West.
“In reality, Russia can be innovative in weapons design, and sometimes ahead of the West. Occasionally the country pursues crazy ideas than cannot work, like mind control weaponry. Yet just as often they develop weapons with no counterparts in the US,” the article read.
Poland’s newly installed right-wing governing party is showing off its confrontational style by trying to replace already appointed constitutional judges with its own appointees on Thursday (27 November) and by upping its rhetoric against Russia.
It will now be able to push for its own judges, who it hopes will clear the way for planned sweeping constitutional changes.
As said here many times throughout the years here, a European Army is right around the corner. At the moment, the pace is slow due to incohesion with member states, however that’s likely to change as more events such as the Parisian massacre take place. NATO will eventually be rendered unnecessary and a new military will fill in the vacuum. Expect more events to bring Europe into an increasingly right-wing continent which will demand action. Then the pace will pick up for this future army. Only then, the difference will be that the only thing remaining around the corner will be major war. Germany will lead it and the rest of the willing will remain subservient (i.e. France) or like-mindedness (The Netherlands).
MAINZ, Germany – Germany said it is bolstering its military presence in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region and deploy jets in the fight against ISIS, following a French plea to EU allies after the deadly bombings in Paris.
And former Belgian prime minister and now head of the Liberal faction in the European Parliament, Guy Verhofstadt, tweeted on Wednesday that a European military coalition is indispensable for the security of European citizens.
Berlin: Germany will join the military campaign against Islamic State militants in Syria by deploying Tornado reconnaissance jets, refuelling aircraft and a frigate to the region, after a direct appeal from close partner France for Berlin to do more.
The decision to commit military personnel and hardware is a shift for Germany, which has resisted such direct involvement in the conflict. It still has no plans to join France, the United States and Russia in conducting air strikes in Syria.
“Today the government took difficult but important and necessary decisions,” German Defence Minister Ursula von der Leyen told reporters after meeting with legislators. Continue reading
Lest we forget ISIS gets rockstar treatment at Turkish hospitals after crossing the border seeking to get treatment for war injuries.
LONDON – The fact is that the Russian plane, by Turkey’s own admission, was in Turkish airspace for precisely 17 seconds. That’s a little less time than it takes to read this paragraph aloud. The Turks shot it down anyway — and their allies publicly backed them, as loyal allies must.
NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg declared: “We stand in solidarity with Turkey and support the territorial integrity of our NATO ally, Turkey.” President Barack Obama called his Turkish counterpart, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, to assure him that the United States supported Turkey’s right to defend its sovereignty. But privately, they must have been cursing Erdogan. They know what he’s up to.
This is the first time in more than 50 years that a NATO plane has shot down a Russian plane, and it happened in very suspicious circumstances. Continue reading
- What finally seems to be dawning on the Swedes is that while the government puts the right to asylum before the safety of its own people, the country could be filling up with terrorists.
- “No, ‘Sweden’ has not been naïve. You, your party and your coalition partners have been naïve and you still are.” — Mattias Karlsson, Parliamentary group leader of the Sweden Democrats.
- The announcement that a person such as Dirawi, who professes to be of the Islamic faith, and who according to Islamic scholars should believe the celebration of the birth of Christ is a heathen tradition, will be Christmas Host, sparked feelings of anger and betrayal.
When Prime Minister Stefan Löfven accused his people of being naïve about radical Islamism, anger exploded on social media. You could read comments such as: “No. Some of you have been naïve. The rest of us have been labeled fascists and other ugly things.”
The shock and horror of the Paris attacks — in which one Swedish woman was among the 130 dead and another among the 350 wounded — had barely subsided when the Swedish people received another blow. On November 18, a grim Security Service Chief, Anders Thornberg, held a press conference during which he revealed that a combat-trained ISIS terrorist was suspected of having entered Sweden and a warrant was issued for his arrest. Because of this, Thornberg had raised the threat level in Sweden from three to four on a scale of five — meaning the country was now facing the highest “threat level” since the scale was introduced in 2010.
Happy Thanksgiving from Global Geopolitics.
Issued by President George Washington, at the request of Congress, on October 3, 1789
By the President of the United States of America, a Proclamation.
Whereas it is the duty of all nations to acknowledge the providence of Almighty God, to obey His will, to be grateful for His benefits, and humbly to implore His protection and favor; and-Whereas both Houses of Congress have, by their joint committee, requested me “to recommend to the people of the United States a day of public thanksgiving and prayer, to be observed by acknowledging with grateful hearts the many and signal favors of Almighty God, especially by affording them an opportunity peaceably to establish a form of government for their safety and happiness:” Continue reading
As was warned about in the previous post and many others during the last few years:
Report finds that terrorist group ‘has the necessary supporters in place and the financial means to carry out’ attack in America
The Islamic State has likely radicalized thousands of people in the United States, according to a new report, raising concerns that supporters of the terrorist group could be plotting domestic attacks similar to the recent shootings and bombings in Paris.
The Threat Knowledge Group, an organization led by the counterterrorism experts Sebastian and Katharine Gorka, has compiled a list of 82 individuals in the United States who were affiliated with the Islamic State (also known as ISIS or ISIL) and apprehended by law enforcement officials, including those who traveled or attempted to travel to Iraq and Syria, launched domestic attacks, or participated in recruiting or fundraising. Continue reading
Don’t think the same couldn’t happen in America. The bad guys have always plans such as this, which aren’t limited to hospitals. Kindergartens, universities, movie theaters, etc… are all targets by islamic terrorists. Thousands of terror cells are already in and awaiting the green light to strike where it hurts America the most, morally, socially and economically.
ISLAMIC State jihadis could impersonate firefighters and medical staff to stage horrifying attacks on hospitals, it has been claimed.
Belgian authorities fear the savage terror group could be planning a Paris-style massacre in hospitals in Brussels – and government ministers have warned emergency services that terrorists could slip in undetected by impersonating them.
Reports have suggested hospital chiefs have been advised to ensure uniforms cannot be stolen and to update emergency plans and lists of doctors and senior staff. Continue reading
State Department officials have acknowledged again to Congress that the recently adopted Iran nuclear agreement is not a legally binding document and was not formally signed by any party, according to another in a series of letters sent by the administration to Congress. Continue reading
All eyes on Germany. It runs the continent and dictates how the game is played.
With Europe currently absorbed by the refugee crisis and, after the Paris attacks, its security implications, the Eurozone crisis, once considered an ‘existential threat’ to the EU, suddenly feels remote.
The EU’s capacity to respond effectively to the migration emergency in the coming months, however, is heavily conditioned by the legacy of the Eurozone crisis.
There are three parallels between the Eurozone and the migration crises: the hybrid nature of European governance structures that are little prepared to face up to major external challenges; the preeminence of Germany as a key player; and the important role of a peripheral country – Greece – as a conduit for an external challenge that is becoming an internal crisis.
These issues will determine whether and how the EU will overcome the refugee crisis. They are also, all the same, the areas in which the EU’s capacities have been most stretched by the Eurozone crisis. Continue reading
In 1990 former West German Chancellor Helmut Schmidt told me in an interview that massive Islamic immigration into Europe kept him awake at night. Between pinches of snuff, Schmidt said he worried Muslims wouldn’t assimilate, and that this would become a big problem for the continent.
Schmidt’s ruminations are worth remembering following French President Francois Hollande visit to President Obama Tuesday to ask for help in what he has called France’s war on the Islamic State (ISIS). Hollande, who has been much more assertive than his host on defeating ISIS, to say the least, has been candid that “complicity from the inside” is one of the problems he will have to tackle. Continue reading