An Iranian nuclear agreement could be an economic game changer.
A final agreement is yet to be signed. But for the first time in the decade-and-a-half-long Iranian nuclear negotiations we may have a viable deal on our hands. By and large, the international community, including Pope Francis, has welcomed the recently announced Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPA) framework agreement, which marked the culmination of days-long, grueling 11th-hour haggling in Lausanne, Switzerland. Continue reading
Russia is also who will precisely benefit from an actual war on Iran. Not only through weapons and technology sales in the prelude to war, but through the oil and gas trade. Thus, it is also in Russia’s interests to escalate tensions with their middle east proxies against the west.
(Reuters) – As the European Union prepares to ban Iranian oil and the United States turns the screw on payments, oil executives and policymakers say China and Russia stand to gain the most and Western oil firms and consumers may emerge the biggest losers.
Iran will continue to sell much the same volume of oil – 2.6 million barrels per day or around 3 percent of world supply – but almost all of it will flow to China, they reason. And being pretty much Iran’s only remaining customer, Beijing will be able to negotiate a much reduced price.
The EU will ban Iranian oil from July. The United States plans sanctions on Iran’s central bank and possibly its shipping firm. European headquartered oil firms such as France’s Total and Royal Dutch Shell have already abandoned Iranian oil purchases or are in the process of doing so.
Continue reading article: Oil industry sees China winning, West losing from Iran sanctions (Reuters)