Report: China’s U.S. Treasuries are ‘Nuclear Option’

 

China’s State-Run Global Times Newspaper Declares Victory In The Trade War.

Reuters reports any effort to reduce its U.S. Treasury portfolio would “inflict significant harm on U.S. finances and global investors, driving bond yields higher and making it more costly to finance the federal government.” But, the report notes, China’s leverage with treasuries is only good for as long as it holds them—suggesting any threat it poses may be empty.

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Central banks can’t save the markets from a crash. They shouldn’t even try

https://i.guim.co.uk/img/static/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/pictures/2015/8/29/1440835575292/Cartoon-by-David-Simonds--009.jpg?w=700&q=85&auto=format&sharp=10&s=f14e4235d77db401def8e94d95fd3cc7

Financiers have come to expect central banks to help them out. Illustration: David Simonds for the Observer

 

Alarming data from China was met with a soothing hint about monetary policy. But treasuries cannot keep pumping cheap credit into a series of asset bubbles

Like children clinging to their parents, stock market traders turned to their central banks last week as they sought protection from the frightening economic figures coming out of China. Surely, they asked, the central banks would ward off the approaching bogeymen, as they had so many times since the 2008 crash.

The US Federal Reserve came up with the goods. William Dudley, president of the bank’s New York branch, hinted that the interest rate rise many had expected next month was likely to be delayed.

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The Coming Public Debt Crisis

 

COMMENT: Hi Martin

I am a macro manager. I read your article on April 9th about Public/ private.

I agree it will happen but Commercial banks hold only a tiny part of the US Treasury as you will see from the graph attached. They will probably buy on the way up and China reserve growth is slowing making domestic buyers the prime target . There is scarcity of quality collateral with all new type of regulations (Dodd, Basel III etc..)

Thanks for your good work. Continue reading

Citi Warns “Central Banks’ Grip On The World Economy Is Waning”

While central banks’ grip on the economy seems to be waning, notes Citi’s Matt King, additional liquidity still seems as potent as ever when it comes to propping up global markets. The question in our minds revolves around whether central banks remain willing to keep pumping when the economic benefits are so questionable. Equally, though, valuations are already so elevated that we doubt they can afford to stop. One way or another, this feels like a recipe for increased volatility. Continue reading