Most people don’t see a crisis. Out of the minority that does see it, a majority of that doesn’t see it for what it is: Economic warfare between the United States and the EU, mainly Germany.
Germany hit the NSA with a manufactured scandal. America then retaliated with sanctions on Volkswagen. Germany then retaliated through EU channels and began launching hits on Google, Facebook, Microsoft, Apple, etc… and all the other big companies doing business out there — which now leads us to the hit on Deutsche Bank.
To hear the words “Germany” and “instability” today in the same sentence is unheard of and absurd but that’s the world we now live in. Switzerland used to be one of the, if not the most, sound financially nations in the world. Now it’s gutted just as badly as Germany is being gutted. Note that the estimated fines on both Volkswagen and Deutsche Bank eerily mirror what can be found on their balance sheets.
Ten of the large hedge funds are withdrawing from Deutsche Bank. What must be understood here is that Deutsche Bank is the main clearing house for trades in Europe. The problem the hedge funds have is where do they move for clearing? Short-term, they can move to New York or London. With over $60 trillion derivative book at the Deutsche Bank, the government is totally incapable of even understanding how to deal with this crisis. We are looking at a major crisis in confidence.
Merkel is simply out of her mind to adhere to this insane policy of a bail-in. How can hedge funds stay with clearing at Deutsche Bank when she takes this position that would set off a catastrophic global meltdown. It still appears that Merkel will have to blink. Once people realize this is the real crisis, then the German debt market should turn down rather hard. Continue reading →