Deutsche: The Fed Has Created “Universal Basic Income For The Rich” And Now It Can’t Get Out

 

Two weeks after Aleksandar Kocic highlighted the moment in 2012 when the market stopped caring about newsflow and reality, and, in a word “broke” with pervasive complacency setting in regardless of macro uncertainty…

… Deutsche Bank’s post modernist master of stream-of-consciousness narrative is back with a new essay dissecting his favorite topic, the interplay between the Fed and markets, the so-called “umbilical limbo” that connects the two in the form of ultraeasy monetary policy and QE in general, and more importantly, the narrative that the Fed has spun over the past ten years, which while supportive of risk assets, has concurrently resulted in what Kocic calls a “permanent state of exception” from normalcy as a result of the Fed decision to defer the financial crisis indefinitely. Continue reading

The Coming Great Wealth Transfer

WakingTimes.com

 

Spoiler alert! It’s already here.

In the past, I’ve warned about the coming Great Wealth Transfer.  But now we need to talk about it in the present tense, because it’s here.

And it will only accelerate from here on out. The Rich will get richer at the expense of everybody else.

This isn’t personal. It’s simply a feature of what happens near the end of a debt-based monetary system run by corruptible humans. Continue reading

Goldman Says There’s an Elevated Risk of a Big Market Selloff

Video available at the source.

 

And it’ll be tough to find a place to hide.

“With the S&P 500 close to all-time highs, stretched valuations and a lack of growth, drawdown risk appears elevated.”

So says Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Managing Director Christian Mueller-Glissmann, who highlights that selloffs in excess of 20 percent for major bourses occur relatively frequently and recently have been brought about by concerns of a global nature. With a possible Brexit, the U.S. presidential elections, and a Fed that appears committed to continuing to lift policy rates, this level of event risk is certainly on the table. Continue reading

Will the Stock Market Crash in 2016?

China’s stock market crash on Monday triggered its first ever halt and rattled markets worldwide.

Japan’s Nikkei Stock Average lost 3.1%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 2.7%, and South Korea’s Kospi declined 2.2%. Continue reading

Global markets will only get more volatile and put UK lending at risk, Bank of England warns

The stock market turmoil that followed Black Monday could become a common occurence, with serious implications for bank lending in the UK

Modern technology and mathematical formulas mean dealers can execute split-second trades at higher volumes than ever before. But the downside to this is that when everyone uses similar algorithms, it results in a market with only buyers or only sellers, causing prices to swing violently, according to the Bank of England. Continue reading

China Is Preparing To Shock The World

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After another wild week of trading in global markets, today one of the top money managers in the world told King World News that China is preparing to shock the world.

Stephen Leeb:  “Someone from the IMF just said that the chances are 99 percent that China will get approved for reserve currency status.  If they do (get approved), how long before China says, ‘Now that we are approved as a reserve currency, now that the world can trade with the yuan, we want to put a little more backbone in our currency, how about backing part of our currency with gold?’  That is definitely going to happen, Eric… Continue reading

Chinese stock markets plan ‘circuit breakers’ against volatility

Chinese stock markets have proposed “circuit breakers” to freeze trading if stocks rise or fall too fast, after recent fluctuations on its bourses [sic] spooked global markets, a news report said Tuesday, dpa reports.

The Shanghai and Shanzhen exchanges would see trading stopped for 30 minutes if a key index rises or falls by 5 per cent within a day.

An intra-day change of 7 per cent would cause trading to be stopped for the rest of the day, the South China Morning Post reported, citing the exchanges. Continue reading

NYSE invokes Rule 48 to curb early swings

Circuit breakers, a plunge protection team (that either doesn’t exist or is doing a very poor job)… and now Rule 48. One has to wonder how many more tricks are in the bag. Perhaps that was the last one, perhaps there’s many more. Even if there’s more, it won’t stop the ever-strengthening avalanche.

 

The New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday again invoked measures meant to promote an orderly opening as the US stock market endured heavy selling in early trading.

In contrast to the wild trading of Monday, August 24, when the exchange also invoked so called Rule 48, activity on Tuesday was mostly orderly in spite of declines, market participants said.

But some complained that it took too long for some stocks to open, which is likely to keep attention on the rule. The S&P 500 fell 3 per cent. Continue reading

China stocks plunge over 3% by break on Wednesday

The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index plunged 3.12% to close at 3,631.4 points. Continue reading

China Devalued to Bring Yuan in Line with Technicals

Confusion hits the markets as stocks, currencies and commodities fall sharply across the region as investors fear a stalling China economy and possible currency war despite Beijing’s assurances. We warned that this devaluation was NOT A FLUKE, and far too many people just misrepresent what is truly going on within the world economy so it comes as no surprise they missed this one. Continue reading

Panic as China suffers ANOTHER stock market crash with largest shares fall in EIGHT years

INVESTORS in Britain and around the world have been sent into panic today after China’s stocks plummeted by 8.5 per cent – the largest one-day fall in almost eight years.

The FTSE 100 was in the red this morning after share indices in the world’s second-largest economy suffered their worst drop since 2007.

The fall in China is part of a wider slump in the country’s stocks that first began in mid-June, amid fears the China’s finance bubble had burst.

Previously China’s indices had almost doubled in the space of just a year.

The country’s Government had managed to briefly calm nerves with a raft of support measures, but today investors appeared to have lost all faith in official efforts to prop up values. Continue reading

There Will Be No 25-Year Depression

What we have here is not a failure of Capitalism, but a failure of experimenting with Socialism that is now resulting in the breakdown of society.

As geopolitical analyst and expert, JR Nyquist, once put it, America has fallen victim to Crony Capitalism, which is different than Capitalism itself.

 

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How it all works in crony heaven – until it doesn’t anymore – via bastiatinstitute.org

 

 

Good and Bad News

Today, we have bad news and good news. The good news is that there will be no 25-year recession. Nor will there be a depression that will last the rest of our lifetimes.

The bad news: It will be much worse than that. On Monday, the Dow rose another 43 points. Gold seems to be working its way back to the $1,200 level, where it feels most comfortable.

Old People Are Dead Wood

First, people are getting older. Especially in Europe and Japan, but also in China, Russia and the US. As we’ve described many times, as people get older, they change. They stop producing and begin consuming. Continue reading

This Financial “Seismograph” Signals A Monetary Earthquake

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Stock markets in the U.S. are trading approximately 2% from their all-time highs, the German DAX has slightly retraced from its all-time highs, the Nikkei index in Japan has almost surpassed its 2000 highs in recent days, the Shanghai stock index used to be a laggard but is making up at an incredible pace (currently trading at 7-year highs). Indeed, it feels like nothing can go wrong.

We are not yet in bubble territory, and the market is not setting up for an implosion as it did in December 1999 or July 2008. However, we are in the midst of a monetary bubble, driven by an explosion of the monetary base and an implosion of interest rates. Paper assets, as opposed to hard assets, have been pumped up by the liquidity that is being funneled into the economic system and the markets. Continue reading

Bank Of Japan’s Plunge Protection Desperation: “May Buy Individual Stocks”

Earlier this month, the BoJ surveyed 40 dealers and discovered something shocking: buying the entirety of JGB gross issuance has had a rather dramatic effect on liquidity. In fact, two thirds of the firms who participated reported having “some or a lot” of problems and described bid-asks as “not very tight.” Today, an internal report from the central bank indicates officials are slowly coming to accept the fact that their actions have consequences although as you can see from the following, the fact that the BoJ is literally buying all of the bonds is still low on the list of factors the central bank figures might be negatively affecting liquidity… Continue reading

The blistering pace of dollar’s rally is rattling markets

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — It’s probably not the dollar’s unrelenting march higher that is unsettling U.S. stock investors, but it might be the speed of the rally.

“I think what people are concerned about is the pace of the dollar strength,” Douglas Borthwick, managing director at Chapdelaine Foreign Exchange, in a phone interview, on Tuesday.

“Countries can always adapt to currencies strengthening or weakening, but certainly as the dollar strengthens very, very quickly it leaves very little chance for others to adapt,” he said. Continue reading