Obama speeds up limited air strike, no-fly zones preparations for Syria

Should air strikes against Syria come to fruition, has Obama prepared for any eventuality and/or consequences?

The concern lies in the fact that Syria and Iran share a mutual defense pact. Should one or the other be attacked, the other is obligated to join in the war. What’s more, terrorist proxies (Heybollah, etc…) from border countries (i.e. Lebanon, Jordan, Egypt) will more than likely be leveraged and wage war by firing thousands of rockets into Israel — and more than likely also use chemical or biological weapons. This will ultimately result in Israel retaliating to defend itself with the possibility of nuclear weapons being used. It has in the past mentioned all bets are off should chemical or biological weapons be used. Damascus will be razed. The middle east powder keg would have effectively been set off.

Add to this statements coming from Moscow and Beijing saying they will defend Syria and Iran by any means necessary (even nuclear if they have to) and the problem gets exponentially more serious. Will North Korea also take advantage of a distracted USA in the middle east and launch attacks on the South? They have tens of thousands of missiles pointed towards an already apathetic nation with its capital just 35 miles away from the North Korean border. Lastly, what of the hundreds, if not thousands of terrorist cells in America waiting for a “green light”? One can easily see how the domino effect will tumble out of control rapidly and open up Pandora’s box.

The entire world is at a turning point that can easily become hostile-dangerous. The world economy is in shambles and all it needs is one push to go off the cliff. War breaking out would do just that, and much more.

This is not intented to sound anti-war, nor alarmist, but to ask what is at stake. A regime change in Syria is surely needed but it won’t be easily done as was Iraq. This isn’t the Gulf War or the second invasion where you invade and the enemy lays dead or waves white flags instantly. There are more far reaching consequences and the Syrian-Iran axis has the capacity and capability to spread more damage in both the middle east and on the American homeland — a place that has never known war at home. Contrary to popular belief, America can be touched.

Again: Should air strikes against Syria come to fruition, has Obama prepared for any eventuality and/or consequences — including attacks on the homeland and putting lives at risk?

US President Barack Obama has ordered the US Navy and Air Force to accelerate preparations for a limited air offensive against the Assad regime and the imposition of no-fly zones over Syria, debkafile reports. Their mission will be to knock out Assad’s central regime and military command centers so as to shake regime stability and restrict Syrian army and air force activity for subduing rebel action and wreaking violence on civilian populations.

debkafile’s sources disclose that the US President decided on this step after hearing Russian officials stating repeatedly that “Moscow would support the departure of President Bashar al-Assad if Syrians agreed to it.”  This position was interpreted as opening up two paths of action:

2.  To select a group of high army officers who, under the pressure of the limited air offensive, would be ready to ease Assad out of power or stage a military coup to force him and his family to accept exile.

The US operation would be modulated according to the way political and military events unfolded.

Washington is not sure how Moscow would react aside from sharp condemnations or whether Russia would accept a process of regime change in Damascus and its replacement by military rule.

Full article: Obama speeds up limited air strike, no-fly zones preparations for Syria (DEBKAfile)

Russia Is Massing Troops On Iran’s Northern Border And Waiting For A Western Attack

For those who enquire about what possible oucomes would stem from a war with Iran, war with Russia is a real possibility. Although this is not new news, it also gives insight into why (among many other reasons) Russia had manufactured justification and invaded Georgia in 2006: It provides strategic military access. As pointed out by the article, Georgia will likely have to be invaded again should war break out.

The Russian military anticipates that an attack will occur on Iran by the summer and has developed an action plan to move Russian troops through neighboring Georgia to stage in Armenia, which borders on the Islamic republic, according to informed Russian sources.

Dmitry Rogozin, who recently was the Russian ambassador to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, or NATO, warned against an attack on Iran.

“Iran is our neighbor,” Rogozin said. “If Iran is involved in any military action, it’s a direct threat to our security.” Rogozin now is the deputy Russian prime minister and is regarded as anti-Western. He oversees Russia’s defense sector.

The implication of preparing to move Russian troops not only is to protect its own vital regional interests but possibly to assist Iran in the event of such an attack. Sources add that a Russian military buildup in the region could result in the Russian military potentially engaging Israeli forces, U.S. forces, or both.

Informed sources say that the Russians have warned of “unpredictable consequences” in the event Iran is attacked, with some Russians saying that the Russian military will take part in the possible war because it would threaten its vital interests in the region.

The influential Russian Nezavisimaya Gazeta newspaper has quoted a Russian military source as saying that the situation forming around Syria and Iran “causes Russia to expedite the course of improvement of its military groups in the South Caucasus, the Caspian, Mediterranean and Black Sea regions.”

This latest information comes from a series of reports and leaks from official Russian spokesmen and government news agencies who say that an Israeli attack is all but certain by the summer.

Because of the impact on Russian vital interests in the region, sources say that Russian preparations for such an attack began two years ago when Russian Military Base 102 in Gyumri, Armenia, was modernized. It is said to occupy a major geopolitical position in the region.

The Russians believe that Georgia would cooperate with the United States in blocking any supplies from reaching Military Base 102, which now is supplied primarily by air. Right now, Georgia blocks the only land transportation route through which Russian military supplies could travel.

Fuel for the Russian base in Armenia comes from Iran. Russian officials believe this border crossing may be closed in the event of a war.

“Possibly, it will be necessary to use military means to breach the Georgian transport blockade and establish transport corridors leading into Armenia,” according to Yury Netkachev, former deputy commander of Russian forces in Transcaucasia. Geography of the region suggests that any such supply corridor would have to go through the middle of Georgia approaching Georgia’s capital of Tbilisi given the roads and topography of the country.

Full article: Russia Is Massing Troops On Iran’s Northern Border And Waiting For A Western Attack (Business Insider)