Goldman Warns That Market Valuations Are at Their Highest Since 1900

 

  • Returns likely to be lower across all assets in medium term
  • Risk scenario sees inflation jump that ushers ‘fast pain’

A prolonged bull market across stocks, bonds and credit has left a measure of average valuation at the highest since 1900, a condition that at some point is going to translate into pain for investors, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Continue reading

Schäuble Warns of Coming Economic Crisis

 

In his farewell interview for the Financial Times, Federal Minister of Finance Wolfgang Schäuble warned of a new global financial crisis predicated upon the Quantity of Money theory that the central banks had pumped trillions of dollars into the financial system that is creating a risk of “new bubbles”.  Indeed, many just do not comprehend what is going on and are blaming the new highs in share markets on concerns about the increased risks from the accumulation of more and more liquidity and the growth of public and private debt. Continue reading

Global credit crunch WARNING issued on debt bubble as current trends mirror 2008 crash

crash

A indicator tracking credit is following a worrying trend [Getty]

 

WARNING signals have been felt today after a key credit indicator mirrored the same pattern experienced ahead of the financial crisis of 2008, in a eerie sign that the global economy is heading for another downturn.

A key UBS credit impulse which monitors the changes in credit volume has tumbled by six per cent of GDP since last year.

It mirrors the same movement seen before the financial crisis 10 years ago, raising fears the global bubble could be about to burst and another credit crunch. Continue reading

The world economy can’t handle even one US rate hike, strategist Sri-Kumar says

Please see the source for the video.

 

Even one small interest rate increase by the Fed could have a sweeping impact on U.S. and world economies, Komal Sri-Kumar told CNBC on Monday.

“I think they are going to hike” on March 15, Sri-Kumar said on “Squawk Box,” echoing a theory shared by many analysts. “But that is going to prompt capital outflows from the euro zone, especially with the political risk. It is going to increase the capital outflow from China, and the U.S. economy will feel the impact.”

These moves would strengthen the dollar against other currencies, putting downward pressure on the euro, said Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies. Continue reading

Draghi Admits EU May Breakup For First Time

For the first time, the head of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, has conceded the possibility that the EU may fall apart. Draghi came out and said that any member leaving the Eurozone would need to settle its claims or debts with the bloc’s payments system before severing ties. This statement reveals the heated discussion at Davos and the rift that is beginning to spread. This statement, released on Friday, was made in a letter to two Italian lawmakers in the European Parliament. Continue reading

One big, fat, ugly bubble is about to burst… and Donald Trump will be wrongly blamed for it

 

(Natural News) Editor’s note: Donald Trump is officially the president of the United States. But what happens now could change everything…in sudden, unexpected ways.

Today, we’re featuring another important essay from Crisis Investing editor Nick Giambruno on this topic. On Wednesday, Nick said Trump could go down as the worst president…but it won’t be his fault. Today, he gives more reasons why Trump is destined to fail…and what you should be watching closely today.

(Article by  By Nick Giambruno, editor, Crisis Investing from Caseyresearch.com)

The establishment is setting up Donald Trump.

The mainstream media hates him. Hollywood hates him. The “Intellectual Yet Idiot” academia class hates him.

The CIA hates him. So does the rest of the Deep State, or the permanently entrenched “national security” bureaucracy.

They did everything possible to stop Trump from taking office. None of it worked. They fired all of their bullets, but he still wouldn’t go down.

Of course, the Deep State could still try to assassinate Trump. It’s obvious the possibility has crossed his mind. He’s taken the unusual step of supplementing his Secret Service protection with loyal private security. Continue reading

Pensions Timebomb in “Slow Motion Detonation” In U.S., EU and Internationally

 

Max Keiser and Stacy Herbert discuss the end of retirement which many Americans, Britons, Europeans and others will suffer as their pensions are decimated in the coming years due to zero percent interest rates and ultra loose monetary policies pursued for the benefit of banks and corporations.

Governments and central banks bailed out banks at the expense of pensioners and the pensions of workers who have been “thrown under the bus”. Continue reading

2016 – US dollar warning : the beautiful isolation of the « global reference currency »

Note for our readers : Following our monetary research work under the form of a surveillance of several months, our team is worried again about the US dollar. After a calming two year time, the dollar is heckled again within today’s new multi monetary world. Surprised by the conclusions of its own analyses, presented here below exclusively to you, our team of experts wishes to warn you, the GEAB readers, about the possible danger threatening the dollar. 2016 could very well be the year when the dollar wall will fall…

To explain the current financial turmoil, all official accusing fingers are pointing to a single guilty party: China, the ideal guilty player, the same way Greece and the euro currency were at their time. It is true that evidence seems to be on the side of those accusing fingers, due to the recently unstable Shanghai stock market and its low values. Continue reading

Opinion: How negative interest rates take money out of your pocket

Negative interest rates, which central banks in several countries have implemented as a way to spur economic growth, is a radical move. In the last of a three-part series, ‘Negative Thinking,’ commentator Satyajit Das examines this policy and its risks.

Low rates are supposed to encourage debt-financed consumption and investment, feeding a virtuous cycle of expansion. They also increase wealth, encouraging spending. Low rates and abundant liquidity should drive inflation.

Instead, these policies since 2008 have brought the global economy a precarious stability at best, and have not created economic growth or inflation. Continue reading

Why a selloff in European banks is ominous

https://i1.wp.com/ei.marketwatch.com//Multimedia/2016/02/07/Photos/ZH/MW-EF025_euro_b_20160207131311_ZH.jpg

Dark clouds are gathering around Europe’s banking sector.

 

Europe’s bank index has posted its longest weekly string of losses since 2008

European banks have been caught in a perfect storm of market turmoil, lately.

“The current environment for European banks is very, very bad. Over a full business cycle, I think it’s very questionable whether banks on average are able to cover their cost of equity. And as a result that makes it an unattractive investment for long-term investors,” warned Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank. Continue reading

Russell Napier Explains How The Decline Of The Yuan Destroys Belief In Central Banking

From Russell Napier of ERI-C

It’s Not a Pet, It’s a Falcon: How the decline of the RMB destroys belief in central banking and a successful reflation

Turning and turning in the widening gyre
The falcon cannot hear the falconer;
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;

– The Second Coming- W.B. Yeats

First catch your falcon, as the formidable Mrs Beeton might have said if she was in need of a method of catching her main course (see Mrs Beeton’s Book of Household Management 1861- ‘Recipe for Jugged Hare’). Continue reading

“It’s Coming To A Head In 2016” – Why Bank of America Thinks The Probability Of A Chinese Crisis Is 100%

Some sobering words about China’s imminent crisis, not from your friendly neighborhood doom and gloom village drunk, but from BofA’s China strategist David Cui.

Excerpted from “2016 Year-Ahead: what may trigger financial instability“, a must-read report for anyone interested in learning how China’s epic stock market experiment ends. Continue reading

Mario Draghi moves centre stage in Europe’s epic lurch to federalism

Successful completion of Europe’s experiment with monetary union demands federalist solutions. But these could yet end up tearing it apart

Rarely has the gulf that separates US from European monetary policy looked quite as wide as it does today, with the European Central Bank this week expected to sanction further easing even as the US Federal Reserve prepares to tighten – a great divergence which sees the two central banks, and their currencies, heading in opposite directions.

Continue reading

QE’s Creeping Communism

Central banks and respective governments are running out of magical tricks to pull out of the hat.

As already done in America [government takeover of the banking industry (government bailout) and health industry (“Obamacare”)], the next step is the nationalization of industries in other developed nations like we’re seeing now in Japan.

This paves the way for communist rule by stealth, but most people don’t see this so long as the shopping malls are remain open and they can still drink their beer while watching the NFL.

 

Despite its much longer experience with monetary stimulus, Japan’s economy remains listless and has continuously flirted with recession. In spite of this failure, Japanese leaders, especially Prime Minister Shinzo Abe (and his ally at the Bank of Japan (BoJ), Haruhiko Kuroda), have recently doubled down on all prior bets. This has meant that the Japanese stimulus is now taking on some ominous dimensions that have yet to be seen here in the U.S. In particular, the Bank of Japan is considering using its Quantitative Easing budget to buy large quantities of shares of publicly traded Japanese corporations.So for those who remain in doubt, Japan is telling us where this giant monetary experiment leads to: Debt, stagnation and nationalization of industry. This is not a destination that any of us, with the possible exception of Bernie Sanders, should be happy about.

Continue reading

Cash Withdrawal Limits and “Bank Holidays” Coming?

Collapsing commodities prices, erratic market turmoil and the bursting of Chinese bubbles are leading to a crisis in confidence in the economic system across the globe. The long-expected crisis to which the global financial and systemic crisis in 2008 may have been a mere prelude may be upon us.

Governments have no appetite for further bailouts. The EU states have passed legislation which will make the banks or rather unfortunate and unsuspecting depositors liable for the bank’s lending and speculative profligacy. Continue reading