IMF chief warns of weaker global economic growth

Prospect of US interest rates hike and weakness in China contributing to uncertainty and higher market volatility, says Christine Lagarde

A marked slowdown in big emerging market countries will cut global growth to its lowest level since the deep recession of 2009, the head of the International Monetary Fund has warned.

Christine Lagarde, the IMF’s managing director, said forecasts to be published by her organisation next week would show activity expanded by less than the 3.4% recorded in 2014 – the joint weakest since the world economy came to a standstill six years ago. Continue reading

David Stockman: The Global Economy Has Entered The Crack-Up Phase

 

Few people understand the global economy and its (mis)management better than David Stockman — former director of the OMB under President Reagan, former US Representative, best-selling author of The Great Deformation, and veteran financier.

David is now loudly warning that events have entered the crack-up phase, which he predicts will be defined by the following 4 developments: Continue reading

Is China Preparing for Currency War?

China has entered the global monetary-easing fray, along with more than a dozen other economies, after its central bank surprised investors by cutting reserve requirements 50 basis points to spur lending and combat deflation. But Beijing may be raring for an even bigger and more perilous fight — in the currency markets.

At the same time, something else is afoot in Beijing could have even greater global impact. The central bank is cooking up measures to widen the band in which its currency trades. People’s Bank of China officials say it’s about limiting volatility as capital zooms in and out of the economy. Let’s call it what it really is: the first step toward yuan depreciation and currency war. Continue reading

‘Violent’ stock market crash could be round the corner as hidden liquidity crunch ‘blows up’ in investors’ faces, warns think-tank

  • Bank of International Settlements warns of ‘violent’ market crash
  • Low levels of market volatility persist despite conflicts and crises across the world
  • Investors buying assets on the misguided presumption of a level of liquidity
  • Share prices continue to plummet as investor confidence decreases

A potentially ‘violent’ stock market crash could be on the horizon as financial markets become dangerously stretched, a think-tank has warned.

The Bank of International Settlements said that suspiciously low levels of volatility in the markets seen this year suggest a lack of liquidity that could trip up investors who assume they can dispense of assets when a sell-off begins. Continue reading