Beware 2018, when the next perfect banking storm may hit

Those looking for when the next financial crisis might be should set a reminder for January 1, 2018.

That’s when a host of new rules are scheduled to come into force that are likely to further constrain lending ability and prompt banks to only advance money to the best borrowers, which could accelerate bankruptcies worldwide. As with any financial regulation, however, the effects will start to be felt sooner than the implementation date. Continue reading

Italian Banks Collapse, Short Sales Banned As Loan Loss Fears Mount

https://i0.wp.com/www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2016/01-overflow/20160118_ITA1.jpg

 

Italian bank stocks are crashing (with BMPS down 40% year-to-date) as Reuters reports that investors are growing increasingly nervous about how the sector will cope with lower interest rates and a 200 billion euro ($218 billion) pile of loans that are unlikely to be repaid. The broad banking sector is down 4% with stocks suspended, and in light of this bloodbath, Italian regulators have decided in their wisdom, to ban short-selling of some bank stocks (which has driven hedgers into the CDS market, spking BMPS credit risk). Continue reading

Greece misses bailout deadline as talks with creditors drag on

The deadline to dispense further rescue loans to debt-stricken Greece was extended by eurozone countries once again on Sunday amid continuing deadlock between Athens and its creditors.

With negotiations still bogged down over failure to agree on a new foreclosure law – legislation the leftist-led government says would push austerity-hit Greeks over the edge – lenders postponed a critical Eurogroup Working Group until Tuesday. Continue reading

Glencore Collapse Could Be Even Worse Than Feared

Editor’s Note: We’re sharing this update on Glencore’s collapse with you because it’s shaping up to be even worse than Michael originally thought. Glencore still poses a “Lehman Brothers”-level risk to the global economy – but it’s now clear the world’s biggest commodities trader is on the hook for hundreds of billions in “shadow debt” that it simply refuses to address. This crisis is one small step away from upending our financial system, so here’s what you need to know…

A lot of powerful voices have joined me in warning about the potential threat that Glencore Plc. (LON: GLEN) poses to global financial markets. Bank of America, for instance, has published a report on the true size of the fallout. As you’ll see in a moment, it’s staggering.

But since we talked about Glencore late last month, something insane has happened: The stock has gone up.

But not for any good reason. The company has not righted the ship. The surge is only due to short-sellers covering their positions. Continue reading

Facebook Could Check Your Loan Applications Against Your Friends’ Credit

Just call it “friendlining”

Facebook friend lists are a weird collection of your classmates, coworkers, distant relatives, former roommates, and other people you may have known at one point in your life. A new patent granted to Facebook would let lenders check those same friends’ credit scores and take them into account when deciding to grant a loan. It’s totally not something straight out of a cyberpunk dystopia.

Continue reading

Why is Alexis Tsipras signing up to worse austerity measures for Greece?

As said before, Greece isn’t going anywhere — and apparently Greece would rather capitulate and be placed under German and Troika command than bow out and face imminent total collapse within days or weeks. It would lead to a violent overthrow of the Tsipras government whereas Alexis would likely still be soon replaced for defying the Greek “No” referendum vote, or, the will of the people. Capitulation will still lead to a draining of the Greek taxpayer bank accounts as per bailout requirements.

 

Why have the Greeks signed up to harsher austerity?

Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras is banking on securing an agreement with his creditors to keep the country in the euro. By agreeing to carry out many of the tough reforms and spending cuts he has so far resisted, he hopes to get a big concession on relieving part of the country’s debt.

Is this worse than the deal voters rejected in the referendum?

Yes and no. On the one hand the VAT hikes and pensions reforms are exactly what creditors have wanted over the last month.

Continue reading

US taper risks fresh crisis, says Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank says policymakers have become so used to “throwing liquidity” at structural problems that asset prices had become distorted and risked triggering a fresh crisis

Scaling back the Federal Reserve’s massive bond-buying programme risks throwing the global economy into disarray next year, Deutsche Bank has warned, with lenders unable to cope with higher borrowing costs, despite stronger economic growth. Continue reading