A New Era Of Geopolitical Risk In Global Oil Markets

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Amid never ending talk and speculation over how many more barrels of Iranian oil will be removed from global markets once sanctions slated to hit Iran’s oil production on November 6 take effect, some are claiming that geopolitical factors have driven the market just as much as supply fundamentals.

At Russia Energy Week in Moscow last week, both Saudi and Russian energy ministers said they see rising geopolitical risk as driving the recent oil price increase at a time when there is sufficient supply in the market. Of course, the notion of sufficient supply will be tested soon, as will both Saudi Arabia’s and OPEC’s spare production capacity will be called on to maintain this supply. Continue reading

Russia’s Most Powerful Oil Official Says Oil Could Fall Below $60 In The Next Few Months

An economic war against American shale oil is what’s going on. They want to see the price so low that it’s no longer profitable for American oil firms, therefore they will close up shop and bring consumer dependence back to the Middle East. That’s why OPEC along with Russia agreed to let prices fall.

 

MOSCOW (Reuters) – Russia’s most powerful oil official Igor Sechin said in an interview with an Austrian newspaper that oil prices could fall below $60 by mid-way through next year.

Sechin, chief executive of Rosneft, Russia’s largest oil producer, also said U.S. oil production would fall after 2025 and that an oil market council should be created to monitor prices, the same day the OPEC cartel met in Vienna and left its output targets unchanged. Continue reading

Vladimir Putin: oil price decline has been engineered by political forces

As slumping oil prices dampen Russia’s economic outlook, the country’s President has said that “at some moments of crisis it starts to feel like it is the politics that prevails in the pricing of energy resources”.

Recent tumbles in the value of oil on global markets have been the creation of politicians, Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, suggested on Thursday.

“The obvious reason for the decline in global oil prices is the slowdown in the rate of [global] economic growth which means consumption is being reduced in a whole range of countries”, Mr Putin said. Continue reading