Here Is The IMF’s Global Financial Crash Scenario

 

Hidden almost all the way in the end of the first chapter of the IMF’s latest Financial Stability Report, is a surprisingly candid discussion on the topic of whether “Rising Medium-Term Vulnerabilities Could Derail the Global Recovery”, which is a politically correct way of saying is the financial system on the verge of crashing.

In the section also called “Global Financial Dislocation Scenario” because “crash” sounds just a little too pedestrian, the IMF uses a DSGE model to project the current global financial sitution, and ominously admits that “concerns about a continuing buildup in debt loads and overstretched asset valuations could have global economic repercussions” and – in modeling out the next crash, pardon “dislocation” – the IMF conducts a “scenario analysis” to illustrate how a repricing of risks could “lead to a rise in credit spreads and a fall in capital market and housing prices, derailing the economic recovery and undermining financial stability.” Continue reading

Away From Dollar: Russia, China to Create Entirely Different Gold Market

Sometime in the short-term of mid-term future, China and Russia will come out and say “We have all (or most) of the world’s gold. We will now make the rules.”

This also could be the “event” that a lot of experts are talking about regarding late September and early October crisis predictions. Former Reagan advisor, Martin Armstrong predicts October 1st, 2015 (2015.75) as a turning point in world history, for example.

Ironically, this article comes from a state-run source, which could be the Kremlin’s own way of dropping a hint.

 

While key Western banks are artificially restraining gold prices to breathe life into the diluted and devalued dollar system, Russia, China and other emerging economies are involved in “the genial move” to establish an entirely different gold market, F. William Engdahl underscores.

Key central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve and Bank of England, and Western market players have long been accused of clandestine gold price manipulating aimed at preserving the dollar’s role “as world reserve currency primus,” American-German economic researcher and historian F. William Engdahl writes.

“The COMEX gold futures market in New York and the Over-the-Counter (OTC) trades cleared through the London Bullion Market Association do set prices which are followed most widely in the world. They are also markets dominated by a handful of huge players, the six London Bullion Market Association gold clearing banks — the corrupt JP MorganChase bank; the scandal-ridden UBS bank of Zurich; The Bank of Nova Scotia — ScotiaMocatta, the world’s oldest bullion bank which began as banker to the British East India Company, the group that ran the China Opium Wars; the scandal-ridden Deutsche Bank; the scandal-ridden Barclays Bank of London; HSBC of London, the house bank of the Mexican drug cartels; and the scandal and fraud-ridden Societe Generale of Paris,” Engdahl narrated.

Furthermore, Western banks are issuing numerous paper “gold-futures” and other speculative contracts which are in fact disconnected from real physical gold. Continue reading

BRICS Bank, AIIB Pledge Partnership, Loans To Be Issued In Yuan

Over the first half of the year, we’ve built on several narratives that we believe are critical when it comes to understanding how the intersection of geopolitics and economics is set to shape the world going forward.

One of these narratives revolves around the extent to which three China-led ventures are set to supplant traditionally dominant supranational lenders on the way to embedding the yuan in international trade and investment.

The new ventures are the BRICS bank, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, and the Silk Road Fund. We’ve discussed each of these at length and we’ve also shown that in one way or another, they all represent a shift away from the multilateral institutions that have dominated the post-war economic order.  Continue reading

US unable to stop AIIB’s goal of breaking monopoly

Over 40 countries applied to become founding members of the China-backed Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) before the March 31 deadline, doubling the size of the bank from Beijing’s initial conception.

The applications showed that the planned bank, which has been seen as posing a challenge to the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and a possible threat to the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, is supported by both developed and emerging economies. Continue reading

Argentina Might Join BRICS – Indian Ambassador

MEXICO CITY, May 13 (RIA Novosti) – Three out of five members of the BRICS group of emerging economies support Argentina’s bid to join the club, the Indian ambassador to Buenos Aires said Monday, according to the Clarin news agency. Continue reading

MARC FABER: We’re In A Gigantic Financial Asset Bubble That Could Burst Any Day

In an interview with Bloomberg TV, he says we are in a “gigantic financial asset bubble.” He also thinks the bubble could burst at any moment.

“I think we are in a gigantic financial asset bubble. But it is interesting that that despite of all the money printing, bond yields didn’t go down. They bottomed out on July 25, 2012 at 1.43% on the 10-years. We went to over 3.0%. We’re now at 2.85% or something thereabout. But we’re up substantially. Now, this hasn’t had an impact on stocks yet. In fact, it pushed money into the stock market out of the bond market. But if the 10-years goes to say 3.5% to 4.0%, then the 30-year goes to close to 5.0%, the mortgage rates go to 6.0%. That will hit the economy very hard.” Continue reading

MARC FABER: Not Even Gold Will Be Able To Save You From What Is Coming

When you print money, the money does not flow evenly into the economic system. It stays essentially in the financial service industry and among people that have access to these funds, mostly well-to-do people. It does not go to the worker. I just mentioned that it doesn’t flow evenly into the system. Continue reading

So Long, Yankees! China And Brazil Ditch US Dollar In Trade Deal Before BRICS Summit

China and Brazil agreed to trade in each other’s currencies just hours ahead of the BRICS summit in South Africa.

The deal, which extends over a three-year period and amounts to an exchange of about $30 billion in trade per year, marks the latest effort among two of the world’s largest emerging economies to shift the dynamics of international trade that have long favored the U.S. dollar. Continue reading