Is Deutsche Bank the next Lehman?

 

Looking back at the Lehman Brothers collapse of 2008, it’s amazing how quickly it all happened.  In hindsight there were a few early-warning signs,  but the true scale of the disaster publicly unfolded only in the final moments before it became apparent that Lehman was doomed.

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And the rest is history.

Could this happen to Deutsche Bank?

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By the time we are aware of a crisis – if one is in the offing — it will already be a roaring blaze by the time it is known publicly.   It is by now well-established that truth is the first casualty of all banking crises.  There will be little in the way of early warnings.   To that end, we begin connecting the dots:

Cyprus bail-out: savers will be raided to save euro in future crises, says eurozone chief

If it can happen in Cyprus, it can happen across more European nations as the EU and its ‘troika’ set a precedent by changing its own rules. What’s more is that if it can happen in Europe, it can happen in the United States.

Savings accounts in Spain, Italy and other European countries will be raided if needed to preserve Europe’s single currency by propping up failing banks, a senior eurozone official has announced.

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The euro fell on global markets after Jeroen Dijsselbloem, the Dutch chairman of the eurozone, announced that the heavy losses inflicted on depositors in Cyprus would be the template for future banking crises across Europe.