Many analysts are fearful of an impending downturn as early as next year. In an exclusive interview with FS Insider, legendary forecaster Martin Armstrong of ArmstrongEconomics.com explained his outlook on the global economy and markets, including a bold call that, as early as next year, “we’re looking at a central bank that can go bankrupt” — a topic that will be the focus of a July conference in Frankfurt.
Armstrong is a unique, contrarian thinker and has made a number of accurate forecasts over the years, especially since we’ve been speaking with him on our podcast. A key theme of his analysis is that economic growth is likely to remain stagnant as nations around the globe struggle with large debt burdens. However, rather than calling for a collapse in the dollar and the US stock market, as many bears have long predicted, Martin has taken the opposite view, focusing instead on the needs of institutional investors to earn yield by increasingly allocating capital into stocks and highly-rated corporate bonds, which helps to fuel the stock market higher. Continue reading
COMMENT: Marty; I have attended every conference since 2011. You have really opened my eyes and you have to be blind to not see that you have called everything trend from the decline in gold, rally in the Dow, collapse of Europe, the rise in the dollar, and the uptick in war/civil unrest not to mention your political forecasting. You should be hailed from every podium and the reason you are not is obvious. The conclusions you force upon the rest to see is against their own self-interest. All roads lead only to the dollar as you have said. Continue reading
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; You have pointed out that both Republicans and Democrats have voted for wars and they really seem to have no differences on this issue. You have said they use the social issues to distinguish themselves, but war and economics they seem to always agree. Do you have any insight on this phenomenon? Continue reading
All indications are now pointing to war between the USA and Russia. It appears the powers that be in Washington fear a Trump victory and he would end nation building. The military needs to start a war now because if Trump were elected, he would not go along with this mess. Even Russian TV is talking about war in the aftermath of the collapse of cease-fire efforts in Syria. As the Obama Administration and Russia accused each other of sinking diplomacy, and Moscow is now increasing its military presence on all fronts moving nuclear weapons to the border with Poland and throughout the Baltic regions as well as in the in the Mediterranean, All nuclear agreements have been suspended for which Obama won the Noble Peace Prize if you really believe that BS for his nuclear non-proliferation treaty. Russian prime-time news is warning that the U.S. wants to provoke a conflict. I cannot say Russia is wrong. It is indeed the Obama Administration that appears hell-bent on starting war. Continue reading
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned at the G20 summit in Hangzhou, China, that in the face of crises, the refusal to reform how things are functioning will lead to economic weakness in the global economy. “The latest data show subdued activity, less growth in trade and a very low inflation, suggesting an even weaker global economic growth this year,” the IMF told G20 leaders.
Indeed, we are looking at 2016 coming in as the fifth consecutive year in which global growth will be below the average of 3.7% which prevailed between 1990 and 2007. The IMF said: “Without strong political countermeasures the world could suffer a disappointing growth” for several years to come. Christine Lagarde told world leaders: “Even in the longer term the outlook remains disappointing.” Continue reading
A number of emails have come in asking if we are advising the government since they are now enlisting firms to research a rise in civil unrest. The answer is no! Nevertheless, everyone knows of the accuracy of our computer systems and our cycle of war models. It was the CIA that, after all, came to us demanding I create the system for them in Washington after the model predicted the fall of the Russian monetary system in 1998. I declined. I did offer to run any study for them on our systems. I was told that was not acceptable for they had to “own it.” I said no way. I believe their position was they did not want anyone else to possess the forecasts. I have also been asked if I am afraid of government. I responded that the only way they will ever get access to what our system forecasts is to leave me alone and read our services. So, this is the Mexican standoff as they say. We agree to disagree. Continue reading
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; You have stated that August is the season of war. Can you explain a bit more than just that. I am sure you have before. But I am new to the blog. Continue reading
The derivative exposure mentioned by Martin Armstrong is what has been covered on Global Geopolitics numerous times over the years under the following posts:
This week, a German cooperative savings bank in the Bavarian village of Gmund am Tegernsee with less than 10,000 in population, announced it will begin charging retail customers to hold their cash starting in September. This will apply to accounts greater than €100,000 euros. This means the bank will charge customers 0.4 percent, which amounts to a direct pass-through of the current level of the ECB’s negative deposit rate. After speaking directly with banking sources, what is happening is that cash is flooding into German banks from around Europe just to park avoiding the negative deposit rate. Now, the banks are starting to pass the negative rates back to the clients. However, much of this flow of capital has also been money fleeing other banks outside of Germany for fear that the euro will break and they will get Deutschemarks. Continue reading
This article right here explains exactly why Europe is allowing itself to be flooded with immigrants. It’s another step in creating the United States of Europe.
Since the article is so informative, it’ll remain 100% in tact here for archiving purposes.
Most people have never heard of the real man behind the curtain who inspired the idea of the European Union. They certain do not realize that his idea was to stop the inbreeding within Europe and to support the mixing of peoples and many say races to create the United States of Europe. Richard Coudenhove-Kalergi (1894-1972), was of noble birth and was very much an elitist. He is the real father of the European Union for his efforts go back to 1922 when he founded in Vienna the “Pan Europe” movement. Indeed, his idea was partially supported by the fact that the people of Europe migrated to the United States and intermarried to create America. He saw the same thing was necessary for Europe. This idea is behind German Finance Minister Schäuble outrageous statement that the refugees are needed calling for more immigration into Europe otherwise, Europe will“degenerate into [an] inbred” continent. This is right out of Coudenhove-Kalergi whose argument captured many elitists and spread from Austria to most other countries within Europe. You have to keep in mind that the Royal families were engaged in such a policy. The English monarch is related to the German, Russian, Dutch, and Spain where there were all intermarriages under the theory of creating political stability. Continue reading
We have a socialist, criminal, and an armature who speaks before he thinks running for what they all want to think is the leader of the “free world” which is anything but free. Then we have a press so in bed with the politicians, they often seem to be cross-breeding. CNN, ABC News and CBS News all have family ties to the Democrats. It is no wonder they will never hit Hillary anywhere close to how they jump on trump, and she clearly should be indicted, but Obama will not do so. Endorsing Hillary means Obama has put out the word – no indictment. If it was Trump, you can bet he would be in jail with no bail. Continue reading
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Thank you for coming to Paris. You said the civil unrest would rise in France going into 2018 and there was a risk of another French Revolution in 2020. You mentioned that when surrounded by many people on the Champs–Élysées. Since then I have paid attention and there is a rising discussion about capitalism and socialism that is becoming regular. Can you explain more? Continue reading
Yet today just may mark a very strange event that might be extremely important. Today, Russia gave the US 1 hour notice and began bombing both ISIS and rebels seeking to overthrow the Syrian government. It is extremely curious that this beginning precisely on the day of the ECM. Will this prove to be the start of international war? Continue reading
QUESTION: What will happen after 2015.75? Can you share anything?
Thanks from those who cannot attend your conference
Although turbulent, you’re looking at the next superpower in a post-American world. Through the chaos, and as done with Cyprus, economic leverage is hammered into member states. Greece is only the next to fall in line. It was by design that the system would fail to shore everything up and create a United States of Europe.
The development of the EU Army is underway and not far behind. In a bigger picture perspective, not too many realize that it’s Germany pulling the strings via its Troika instrument. Some see the Troika, but not who’s behind it. The Fourth Reich has landed.
German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble explained on Tuesday that Greece will remain in the euro, no matter how the referendum ends on Sunday. Two years ago, Mario Draghi commented on the continued existence of the euro by saying that the single currency was just irreversible. Angela Merkel delivered a very cold speech stating there are no known proposals that could lead to a common solution to the crisis. The USA position is of course that they want Greece to remain in the euro solely based upon NATO. Then there is the issue of throwing out Greece’s Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis from any meeting. Why expel a finance minister? The reason may lie in a hidden scheme. Continue reading
Gordon Brown… arguably Great Britain’s first Communist Prime Minister.
James Gordon Brown is a British politician who was the Prime Minister from June 2007 to May 2010 of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. Gordon has floated the Marxist Balloon for all we hear about now is eliminating physical money. Those who have ever worked in government NEVER see themselves as the problem – it is always us. So what is the Marxist Balloon? People not immediately in power float an idea so the government can gauge how the press and the people take it. If it goes badly, they say he is speaking personally. If it is not attacked, they float the policy. This is what Gordon Brown has just done. Continue reading