Stocks slumped again on Wednesday pushing S&P 500 losses to almost 8 percent since mid-September. The dollar fell and U.S. bond prices soared after weak Chinese inflation and U.S. producer price and retail sales data fanned fears the world economy could be even weaker than thought.
When stock markets turned south last week after rallying for much of this year, many policymakers initially played that down. In fact, the sell-off could be seen bringing some healthy volatility back to markets that officials worried had become too complacent to risks ranging from tensions surrounding the conflict in Ukraine to the Ebola outbreak.
But the deepening of the sell-off may have put major central banks on their heels, by raising the prospect of the market rout going too far too fast, threatening to hurt confidence and potentially triggering a pullback in spending.
“It reminds me of the massive flight to quality we saw during the (2008) banking crisis, when there were fears that the whole global economy would tip into depression,” said Nick Stamenkovic, a strategist at Edinburgh-based RIA Capital Markets. Continue reading
The Fed will very likely never ‘taper’. If so, there will be a bond sell off which would quickly spiral out of control. Quantitative easing, or QE, will be permanent until it eventually causes a collapse.
The Fed not tapering is also supported by Egon von Greyerz, the founder of Matterhorn Asset Management in Switzerland, in an interview just two days ago.
The ‘day of reckoning’ is indeed coming. The question is not if, but when.
On Sept. 15, Canadian billionaire Ned Goodman spoke at the Cambridge House regarding the U.S. dollar, and the state of the Western economies. In his nearly eight minute speech, the 75 year old CEO of Dundee Capital Markets and Chancellor of Brock University painted a picture of the upcoming change in reserve currency control by the U.S., and how the dollar will soon be replaced as nations around the world rush to get rid of their currency reserves.
Ned Goodman: In my view, the dollar is about to become dethroned as the world’s de facto currency. I’ll tell you how I came to that conclusion so quickly… the new President of China, Xi Jinping, his first visit on the day of his becoming President, was at his request to meet with Mr. Putin. And he immediately made a deal with Mr. Putin to get all the oil that he needs, which he can buy in Renminbi.
We’re headed to a period of stagflation, maybe serious inflation, but stagflation for sure, and the United States will be losing the privilege to print at its will, the world’s reserve currency. A period that’s going to be very inflationary, and I can tell you that before that happens, it is likely that it is going to get quite ugly. – Ned Goodman, Cambridge House Continue reading