The US is not the only one building up forces. China has been building artificial islands in the South China Sea’s
US-China tension in the last few months has sharply increased, with both nations exchanging some heated dialogue over the contested issue of the South China Sea. Although the prospect of the US and China actually engaging in battle is still an abstract idea, the notion became a little more concrete recently with the decision of the RAND corporation (long-time New World Order think tank) to release a study entitled War with China – Thinking Through the Unthinkable.
RAND Study: US-China War Would Be “Prolonged, Destructive and Inconclusive”
The authors of the RAND study claim that “while neither state wants war, both states’ militaries have plans to fight one” and that “Chinese losses would greatly exceed U.S. losses, and the gap would only grow as fighting persisted. But, by 2025, that gap could be much smaller. Even then, however, China could not be confident of gaining military advantage, which suggests the possibility of a prolonged and destructive, yet inconclusive, war.” This isn’t the first time RAND has been preoccupied with US-China tension. This recent 2016 has been preceded by many easier studies, such as this 2015 study entitled The U.S.-China Military Scorecard – Forces, Geography, and the Evolving Balance of Power, 1996–2017 which states:
“Despite U.S. military improvements, China has made relative gains in most operational areas, in some cases with startling speed … The U.S. military should adopt operational concepts and strategies that capitalize on potential advantages and utilize the geographic size and depth of the theater, as well as areas of particular U.S. military strength.”
There is also this 2015 study entitled China’s Incomplete Military Transformation – Assessing the Weaknesses of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) which states:
“The PLA’s capabilities aimed at deterring or, if necessary, countering U.S. military intervention in the Asia-Pacific region, including systems designed to hold U.S. military bases, aircraft carriers, space systems, and computer networks at risk have improved markedly.”
All in all, the trend is that China is rapidly improving its military strength and capability, but RAND’s conclusion is that the US is still superior, although if war were to break out, it may be decided by non-military factors such as economic ones.
Rekindling the Cold War, This Time with Russia and China
The US is not the only one building up forces. China has been building artificial islands in the aforementioned South China Sea’s Spratly Islands by digging up underwater sediment and depositing the material on reefs. Then, China has built air strips and has test landed planes there, much to the ire of Vietnam. Pilger is currently working on a film The Coming War on China which will tell the story of why US-China tension has been escalating. As Pilger writes, the film will reveal that:
“… the US is preparing for a new provocative cold war that has every chance of becoming a hot war. Washington has begun to move its main missile and naval forces into the Asia-Pacific in order to surround and ‘confront’ China, whose extraordinary economic rise in recent years is regarded in Washington as a threat to American dominance.”
In commenting on these ominous indications, Peter Symonds of World Socialist Web Site writes that:
“The RAND Corporation paper is a chilling confirmation of the warnings made by the International Committee of the Fourth International (ICFI) in its statement of February 18, 2016 titled “Socialism and the Fight Against War.” The statement notes that at a certain point, military fatalism becomes a significant contributing factor to the outbreak of war. It cites an international relations specialist who wrote: “Once war is assumed to be unavoidable, the calculations of leaders and militaries change. The question is no longer whether there will or should be a war, but when the war can be fought most advantageously.”
US-China Tension: On a Deeper Level
Full article: US-China tension: Maneuvering for pacific front of WW3? (Intellihub)