On the last day of 2015, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree approving an updated national security strategy of the Russian Federation. This document is Russia’s main plan and the program of the country’s foreign and domestic policy as Moscow is crazed up solely on own security, the search for external and internal enemies, and ways to neutralize them, as well as for the survival recipes in a “besieged fortress” mode.
So, what is the plan Putin and his entourage have prepared for Russia and the rest of the world in 2016? Since the Strategy is the basis for the formation and implementation of state policy on national security, it makes sense to look at the goals of the Russian government in this field.
Let’s start with the fact that in the “Russia in the modern world” chapter, the authors of the strategy noted that “there is now a firm foundation for the further expansion of economic, political, military and spiritual potential of the Russian Federation, strengthening its role in the emerging polycentric world.” Moscow has, indeed, laid the foundation over the past two years, although it has negative implications. The Kremlin has completely lost over the said period both its reputation and a real resource base within its borders and abroad. Incitement to War in Ukraine and Syria can only be a stable foundation for a one-way road for Putin.
It gets even more interesting. The same chapter says: “Russia has demonstrated its ability to ensure the sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity of the state, protection of the rights of its compatriots abroad. Russia’s role in solving major international problems has grown…”
Interestingly, the reality and the declared goals differ greatly. Judge for yourself. Centrifugal tendencies are now prevailing in relation to the sovereignty of the Russian Federation. The Caucasus is restless again, and there is no money left to pay a “fee” to Kadyrov. As a result, a light ultimatum from Grozny results in Putin presenting to Chechnya a minor [for now] stake in Rosneft oil giant. Tatarstan President issues a stern statement on the attempts to embroil his Republic [which is part of the Russian Federation] with Turkey. Meanwhile, the Far East sees all the power amassing in the hands of the Chinese, who don’t lose a chance to push through various ultimatums to Moscow. Apparently, they are aware that they need to “make hay while the sun shines,” as Putin does not seem to hold to his post much longer
Secondly, the Kremlin believes that it is the fault of the U.S. and the EU that there has been a Revolution of Dignity in Ukraine. It says that it was the integration into Europe that provoked the internal conflict. The question is, between whom exactly is this conflict. For some reason, the Russian strategy shamefully chooses not to answer. Who was the second party to the conflict, opposing the Ukrainian patriots? “The little green men” from the U.S. and the EU? Not even close. The Russian president openly admitted at his annual presser in December that the second party to the Donbas conflict was the Russian army, which had gone to war with Ukraine upon his order.
And now to the most important point. The Russian national security strategy mentions Ukraine as a long-term hotbed of instability in Europe and at the borders of the Russian Federation. We should pay close attention to it. This is Putin’s plan for Ukraine: “a long-term hotbed of instability.” That is, as long as Putin and his closest allies are in power, Russia will not cease attempts to destabilize the situation in Ukraine. This does not depend on sanctions, Minsk arrangements, oil prices or something else. For Putin and his regime, it is very important not to give Ukraine a chance to become a normal state. This is the idee fixe of the Kremlin, from which Moscow will not desist even at the cost of the internal disaster in Russia.
Full article: Kremlin strategy does not change (UNIAN)