Editor’s Note: We’re sharing this update on Glencore’s collapse with you because it’s shaping up to be even worse than Michael originally thought. Glencore still poses a “Lehman Brothers”-level risk to the global economy – but it’s now clear the world’s biggest commodities trader is on the hook for hundreds of billions in “shadow debt” that it simply refuses to address. This crisis is one small step away from upending our financial system, so here’s what you need to know…
A lot of powerful voices have joined me in warning about the potential threat that Glencore Plc. (LON: GLEN) poses to global financial markets. Bank of America, for instance, has published a report on the true size of the fallout. As you’ll see in a moment, it’s staggering.
But since we talked about Glencore late last month, something insane has happened: The stock has gone up.
But not for any good reason. The company has not righted the ship. The surge is only due to short-sellers covering their positions.
The ugly truth is, the company is still a “shining” example of exactly what’s wrong with these markets.
Naturally, the company is doing everything possible to calm markets.
First, last week it took the unusual step of publishing a six-page “funding factsheet” designed to dispel market concerns about its liquidity and solvency.
This factsheet shed very little light on what is really going on at the company, however. It said virtually nothing about Glencore’s derivatives contracts, other than stating that its derivatives contracts were undertaken within “industry standard frameworks.”
Here’s the thing – “industry standard frameworks” normally require companies to post additional cash collateral upon the loss of an investment-grade rating, so the company’s statement should not have made anybody feel better.
The truth is, there are a lot more legitimate lenders looking to protect themselves against losses on their Glencore exposures than speculators looking to make a fast buck on the company’s collapse.
Then there’s Chairman Ivan Glasenberg, who blamed mining rivals for oversupplying the commodity markets. This is like the Devil preaching against sin.
Full article: Glencore Collapse Could Be Even Worse Than Feared (Money Morning)