ATHENS/BERLIN (Own report) – At Berlin’s insistence, Greece will not receive debt relief and will be forced to submit – contrary to the Greek population’s “No” last Sunday – to Germany’s austerity dictate, or exit the Eurozone. This is what the Eurogroup decided at its summit yesterday evening. Debt relief, as French Prime Minister Manuel Valls had been still considering yesterday afternoon, is out of the question, announced German Chancellor Angela Merkel following the meeting in Brussels. Athens will also have to present detailed austerity proposals by Thursday. European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker explicitly declared, “if the Greek government is not doing what we expect” a “Grexit” will be initiated. According to insiders, cash will be available at Greek banks only for another two days. By withholding ECB emergency funding, Greece can be driven into collapse, at any time. Just prior to the summit, leading economists signed an appeal to Chancellor Merkel, asking her to stop the “never-ending austerity” – to no avail. In the meantime, even Washington has intervened in the debate. A special EU summit, convened for Sunday, will take the final decision on Greece’s future.
Facing Grexit
Following yesterday evening’s Eurogroup summit, Chancellor Merkel reiterated that Greece will receive no debt relief, as was demanded particularly by France – most recently by Prime Minister Manuel Valls yesterday afternoon. By Thursday, the Greek government will also have to submit detailed proposals of how it intends to comply with the austerity measures demanded by Berlin and Brussels. This means that Athens essentially has to disregard the will of the Greek population, which, in last Sunday’s referendum, said “No” to that particular concept of austerity, but in fact, had rejected the entire German austerity dictate. In turn, Greece would receive a third “bailout package,” under which it must continue to repay debts and interests to German and French banks. According to observers, Berlin and Brussels could make the small concession to Athens of extending the credit period – at least to be able to claim that this respects “the Greek people’s dignity,” as European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker had declared yesterday. “If the Greek government is not doing what we expect, we have a Grexit scenario prepared in detail,” said Juncker, and “we have a scenario” for “humanitarian aid” to handle a collapsing Greece.
ECB Holding the Key
Insiders confirmed yesterday that the European Central Bank (ECB) headquartered in Frankfurt (Main) is holding the key to Greek’s future and could provoke Greece’s total collapse. Greek banks only have enough cash for two more days. Cash could become “a real problem at the cash machines” already by tomorrow, a bank expert is quoted saying.[1] Greece is therefore completely dependent on the ECB, which, by withdrawing its emergency credits could force Greece inevitably into instant collapse.
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Geostrategic Bridgehead
For the USA, Greece is in fact an extremely important NATO partner. The political scientist Johannes Varwick has emphasized this point. According to Varwick, for the West, Greece serves as a “geostrategic bridgehead to the Middle East,” which was already “the reason” to have “Greece as a NATO partner in 1952.” To this date, “nothing has changed” in this respect, explains Varwick. It must be absolutely “avoided that there is a dislocation on NATO’s southeast flank,” explains the political scientist. “That means that as a prerequisite, for a stable opposite shore, the European realm must first of all, be stabilized, and therefore Greece …, even from a security policy standpoint, is a serious problem.”[4] Western allies’ support for Greece maintaining its expensive military budget is also due to its exposed geostrategic position. According to the SIPRI Institute in Stockholm, just last year, after the catastrophic cuts in pensions and social expenditures had long since been made, Greece invested a good 2.5 percent of its GDP in its military – much more than any of the other European NATO member countries. Last week, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg declared that this must continue to be the case: “That is important for all.” Military spending were “not the reasons for the financial crisis in Greece.”[5] The Tsipras government has agreed to maintain the higher-than-average military spending.
No Other Option
Sunday, the EU special summit will make its final decision on Greece’s future. The Tsipras government either will then comply with the wishes of the Greek population, or again be forced to submit to the German-EU austerity dictate – possibly a bit veiled cosmetically. Berlin, as yesterday’s Eurogroup summit has confirmed, leaves no other option open.
Global Geopolitics 