To Win the Second Cold War

BERLIN/MOSCOW (Own report) – A fellow of the German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP) advocates intensifying confrontation with Russia and declaring organizations in EU countries, receiving support of Russian citizens “agents of the aggressor.” In a recent paper, published by the DGAP, Vladislav Inosemzev is calling for “the West to mobilize the necessary resources to win the second cold war.” These include political, but particularly economic measures. The steps proposed by the DGAP fellow, would result in comprehensive economic warfare against Russia and serious measures against “Putin’s apologists.” Meanwhile, the discussion of policy towards Russia continues in Berlin. Business circles insist on ending sanctions because they fear billions in business losses and the loss of a strategic market. The German government is therefore again contemplating concepts à la “transformation through trade,” according to an insider. These concepts aim at profitable business for German companies, in spite of political confrontation – as in the first Cold War.

To Win the Second Cold War”

In spite of this, Berlin’s foreign policy establishment is taking new initiatives to intensify aggression further against Russia. Recently the German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP) published a paper by the Russian economist, Vladislav Inozemtsev, who currently has a “Berthold Beitz Fellowship” at the “Robert Bosch Center for Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, and Central Asia.” In his paper, Inozemtsev reflects on ways western countries could win the power struggle with Russia. “The West should mobilize the necessary resources to win the second cold war,” he writes. “Europe” should address Russia “from the position of strength.” “It has much more leverage over Russia than Russia has over Europe.”[5]

Economic Warfare

Practically, Inozemtsev’s suggestions would result in comprehensive economic warfare.[6] He concretely proposes that the EU countries reduce their Russian gas imports as drastically as possible replacing them with liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the Middle East or from Trinidad. The European consumers must cover the higher costs. Because Russia has not yet developed alternative market outlet possibilities – and pipelines for East Asia must still be laid – a reduction in gas purchases will inflict serious damage on the Russian economy. European banks now hold around 25 percent of the overall debt of Russian companies and banks, – a well-established means of leverage. In addition, the EU-28 accounts for 70.3 percent of accumulated foreign investments,[7] in Russia, which is a powerful instrument of influence. Should the EU begin to withdraw its enterprises’ investments, it would cause serious losses for Russia. Russian companies could also be expelled from European stock exchanges. If this does not produce a resounding success, one could still forbid Russian citizens to have enterprises or real estate surpassing 200,000 Euros within EU countries, or bank accounts with deposits surpassing 75,000 Euros. Inozemtsev supposes that these kinds of punitive actions, having devastating consequences on the Russian economy, would turn Russian elites against Putin – a step closer to his overthrow.

Like Germany Until 1945

Finally, Inozemtsev explains that today’s Russia – similar to the Soviet Union previously – has taken on the same role as Germany, between 1870 and 1945. Therefore, it must be suppressed by all means. The DGAP fellow writes literally: “Russia will become a ‘normal’ country only when its laws will be installed from the outside” [9] – in colonial fashion.

Full article: To Win the Second Cold War (German Foreign Policy)

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