The Iran “nuclear” deal does not stop Iran gaining nuclear weapons. But it does have unintended consequences of global significance.
Much hand-wringing by international commentators accompanied the revelation that a deal had been struck on April 2, between the Five-plus-One nations and Iran, ostensibly to limit the ability of Iran to build nuclear weapons. But what are the realities? Firstly, with regard to nuclear weapons and strategic military capabilities:
- Iran already has a small stockpile of externally-acquired nuclear weapons (from Kazakhstan, Ukraine, and the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea: DPRK or North Korea).
- Iran, working with its key ally, North Korea, has already built and detonated (on Feb. 12, 2013) a nuclear weapon of Iranian design and manufacture.
- Iran has sufficient technology and knowledge to build nuclear weapons, regardless of the new treaty; ramp-up time to production is zero, the only question, for sustained production of weapons, is the volume of enriched material available.
- Iran, like North Korea, has developed ballistic missiles and command and control systems to deploy nuclear weapons through to a second-strike capability.
The “deal” to curb Iranian nuclear weapons production was essentially meaningless from the standpoint of the stated exercise. Tehran has a strategic rationale for acquiring nuclear weapons which it was unlikely to relinquish as long as nuclear weapons were in the grand strategy (primarily psycho-political) matrix of the region.
In any event, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Sharif said that Tehran surrendered nothing in the deal; in substantive terms, he was correct.
Full article: Hello: Iran — with North Korea — already has nukes and missiles, and is on the move (World Tribune)