A new Greek currency? Plausible. Grexit? As oft here discussed, Greece is too important for that.
Banks and other financial institutions in Europe are stress-testing their internal systems and dusting off two-year-old contingency plans for the possibility Greece could leave the region’s monetary union after a key election later this month.
Among the firms running through drills are Citigroup Inc., Goldman Sachs Group Inc., and brokerage ICAP PLC, according to people familiar with the matter.
The moves come as Greek leftist opposition party Syriza continues to lead in recent public opinion polls ahead of national elections on Jan. 25. The ruling coalition government has framed the election as a de facto poll on whether the country stays in the eurozone, saying Syriza’s antiausterity policies would force a break with eurozone partners. Syriza, though, hasn’t campaigned on an exit and most Greek voters want to stay in the monetary union, according to recent polls.
Most analysts still say the chances of a Greek exit are quite low. Economists at Commerzbank rate the chances on an exit at below 25%.
Full article: Banks prepare plans for Greek eurozone exit (MarketWatch)