Recent military victories have severed rebel supply and retreat routes, allowing the regime to plan a major push to to crush divided opposition forces, a senior British security source told The Daily Telegraph.
“The Syrian opposition is doing badly and there is a risk of [further] defeats, although Assad cannot ultimately win,” the source said.
“There is a danger that Assad will go for a big military push in the run-up to Geneva 2 to create facts on the ground that shift the balance of negotiations,” the source said. “We have seen this in past conflicts.”
The German intelligence agency, Bundesnachrichtendienst (BND), has warned its government that Mr Assad’s military “is more stable than it has been in a long time and is capable of undertaking successful operations against rebel units at will”, according to Der Spiegel magazine.
Similarly to the British assessement, it believes that the president cannot recapture all of the country that he has lost, but thinks he can control the south and that after all that has happened “not losing is winning” for Mr Assad.
Full article: Syria: Assad regime is making gains and ‘planning a major push’ (The Telegraph)