Collapse of talks a blow to European balance of power as Kremlin sanctions trump historic trade deal
Twenty years after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Ukraine is slipping back under Kremlin control. Ukraine’s shock decision to opt for Vladimir Putin’s Russia and pull out of EU talks on the eve of an historic deal is a dramatic upset to the European balance of power. It is the first major defeat for the EU in its eastward march since the fall of Communism. While the region’s geopolitics remain fluid, the upset may prove as fateful as the move by the Kossack chief Bohdan Khmelnytsky to turn his back on the West and accept Tsarist suzerainty in the 1640s.
“Ukraine’s government suddenly bowed deeply to the Kremlin. The politics of brutal pressure evidently work,” said Karl Bildt, Sweden’s Foreign Minister. Continue reading
Every day it becomes increasingly clear that Germany is using economic warfare as a means to subjugate EU members and force them into being vassal states. It’s also clear that all EU members aren’t on board and won’t tow the German line, therefore we are likely to see in the future a breakup of the EU because it was never going to work in the first place, yet it was by design that this was to happen. As a result, look for an inner-core of Europe consisting of ten nations to be formed and in a union around the German center. The manufactured chaos will allow for German political influence coupled with its economic tenacity during hard times to lead the way while the remaining members latch on to its leadership and give it power.
To preempt a complete and 100% breakdown or revolt against its imperial hegemony as the article suggests, Europe’s powerhouse is likely to shift cheap labor outward towards the peripheral countries to keep their economies just above water and the citizenry obliviously content. The EU’s answer to the EU’s problems is always centered around one goal: More Europe, as every crisis proves to be an opportunity for more regulation and centralization. The United States of Europe is coming, and it will resemble iron mixed with clay.
BERLIN (Own report) – German government advisors support the establishment of new integrationist procedures to pre-empt future resistance to German predominance over the EU. “A major redistribution of power” is currently taking place in Europe, with France and Great Britain falling clearly behind Germany, according to a recent declaration of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP). In Southern Europe, there are already massive protests against the German government’s dictates. These have not yet had major consequences, but timely preventive measures should be taken to pre-empt the establishment of a “countervailing power.” The SWP’s suggestions support various initiatives from within Berlin’s establishment aimed at consolidating German domination over the EU and pushing the next German government toward a more offensive global policy. The German president, for example, called in this year’s National Holiday speech for a more offensive German approach to global politics, and the SWP pleads for Berlin to assume a more decisive “leadership.” Whereas German predomination over the EU is today taken for granted, a shift is perceived in relations to the most important global rival – the United States. Continue reading
By fate, Poland has always found itself in a geopolitical quagmire forcing the Polish nation to struggle to maintain its own sovereign state, and at the worst of times fight to keep its own nation alive. It comes as no surprise that prominent historian Norman Davies decided to title his book regarding Polish history God’s Playground. The pivotal location of Poland on the map of Europe has made it yet another point of interest for another recent geopolitical play: missile defence. Continue reading
“By virtue of our unique geography”, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton wrote in a 2011 Foreign Policy article, “the United States is both an Atlantic and a Pacific power.” Russia, meanwhile, has seen itself as a Euro-Asian country, as Vladimir Putin has argued from the start of his first term in the Kremlin. The American attitude, which in Secretary Clinton’s locution is about as uncontroversial a statement as an American Secretary of State can make, reflects the country’s historic “maritime” vocation. The Russian one reflects the longstanding fascination with the country’s continental scale and reflects its traditional terrestrial focus. It is really no surprise, when you think about it, that during the “space race” Americans fetched their returning astronauts at sea, while Russians did so over land. Continue reading
The late Margaret Thatcher had also strongly warned that Germany, after World War II, was not anchored to Europe — but that Europe was anchored to Germany.
However, it was planned to fail in order to create a solution for an artificially created crisis. When the crisis peaks, subjugate the surrounding nations as planned via economic warfare by forcing bailouts upon them and have them surrender their national sovereign rights to you in exchange.
Not too many see the signs, but the Fourth Reich is indeed coming, and it will be under the guise of the United States of Europe – ten nations — when final integration is complete.
BERLIN (Own report) – Berlin has launched a new offensive to consolidate its predominance over the EU and strengthen its geopolitical position. On the occasion of this year’s national holiday, last week, German President Joachim Gauck claimed that more and more “voices” in Germany and abroad are demanding that his country should play “a stronger role in Europe and the world.” Germany is “not an island” and should not “belittle” itself in the future, after all, it is the “fourth largest economic power in the world.” As his source of inspiration, he also named the Polish foreign minister, who had called for “German leadership” already in late 2011, and a prominent transatlantic publicist, who had recently called on Berlin to act “more resolutely” in the EU following the elections. Gauck’s offensive had been carefully prepared in the foreign policy establishment. Whereas sectors of the elite in other EU countries condone German “leadership,” large majorities of the populations in the southern EU countries are criticizing German predominance. The intra-European power struggles are continuing. Already a few months ago, Luxemburg’s Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker had warned that he can see similarities to the period leading up to WW I. Continue reading
The Military cooperation pact between Japan and the United States is undergoing big changes. As a result, for the first time since World War II, Japan could soon officially be allowed to have first-strike capabilities against potential threats.
Last Thursday, U.S. Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel and Secretary of State John Kerry met with their Japanese counterparts in Tokyo to discuss the regional security pact between the two sides. It is significant that while all previous meetings about the defense pact were called by the U.S., this one was called by Japan. Continue reading
Russia has applied more and more pressure on its former satellites to join its proposed Eurasian Union. Lithuania, which is keen to forge new ties with the EU, is also coming under increasing powerful pressure.
Russian customs-bullying of Lithuania is part of a bigger power struggle. The Kremlin is geared itself towards obstructing the European Union’s Eastern Partnership policy and forcing Ukraine, Belarus, Moldova, Azerbaijan, Georgia and Armenia to forsake any attempt to get close to Europe, instead seeking to push these countries back under Moscow’s rule via the so-called Eurasian (customs) Union. Continue reading
Syria holds the key to peace, a new chapter in history and the dawn of a new age. Without oil being traded in Dollars, the US will collapse back into the stone age. With an attack on Syria the US might also collapse, should for example, a host of other nations (i.e. BRIC nations) retaliate by dropping the Dollar. This article highlights exactly what hangs in the balance and why Syria is the focus.
Syria is also only a stepping stone into Iran as it was already pre-planned to invade seven countries in five years. This was highlighted by then-General Wesley Clark in the video below. However, Iran might take the iniative by skipping that step and might set the entire Middle East on fire should Syria be attacked.
Syria is about the last gasp for the Petro-Dollar, the emergence of energy pipeline geopolitics, the rise of the NatGas Co-op, the new dominance of Russian Gazprom, the eclipse of OPEC, the fall of the house of Saud, and a grand adjustment process in global commerce and banking.
The NatGas Co-op eclipses OPEC and ushers in a new era.
Refer to trade settlement outside the USDollar and diversification away from USTreasury Bond reserves management. It took some time to realize it, but the Cyprus bank incident was a misdirected attack against Gazprom. It failed. The entire Arab Spring movement, an ambitious disruptive project waged with foolhardy ambitions, has turned on itself. Egypt fell, its US puppet discharged. The entire North African region will be in flames soon. The USGovt interfered with a grand industrialization project for European industry, to be placed on North Africa intended to take advantage of cheaper labor, available minerals, nearby resources, and easy shipping. The resentment of Europe will show up in the future. The Middle East and Persian Gulf region is shifting its salute to Russia & China, as the noisy sectarian battles have been a common fixture since long ago. Bahrain has erupted. Saudi is clamping down and converting into an Islamic police state to create the Iran-Saudi repressive bobsey twins. Chaos is the longstanding objective of the USGovt in foreign policy infection, no change in decades.
Syria is about a lot of things, most of which are volatile, many unsolvable. To be sure, the naval port of Tartus is valuable for the Russian Military, always eager to wrest a seaport. Like Lebanon, Syria is a hotbed stronghold for HezBollah, never to be taken lightly. They are mortal enemies to Israel, whose nations have exchanged covert violence for years. Syria might have tight relations with the Shiites of Iran, even some in Iraq. However, Syria represents the crossroads of many important shifting geopolitical roadways that pertain to the global financial structure and commercial systems. Syria is the tipping point for a Grand Global Paradigm Shift. It is the last stand for the Anglo Banker world. Syria will not go easily into the Russian camp, into the Gazprom fold, into the European energy market sphere. For if it does, the entire USDollar system of commerce and the USTreasury Bond system of reserves management will fall by the wayside and open a new era with Eastern dominance. But the Western powers cannot stop it. Clouds of whatever type do not halt pipeline flow, nor pipeline geopolitics. Continue reading
The grouping’s member states are looking to create a unified energy market for oil and gas exports, while promoting regional development through preferential energy agreements.
In an attempt to give a greater economic role to the regional grouping, Russia is encouraging the strengthening of the ‘energy club’ within the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).
In recent years, SCO member states have sought greater energy cooperation. This follows a formulated dialogue and integrated concept for the creation of an energy club. SCO member states want to create a unified energy market for oil and gas exports, while promoting regional development through preferential energy agreements. Continue reading
Along with the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf near Iran and Oman, the Strait of Malacca is the world’s most important shipping chokepoint.
Linking the Indian Ocean to the South China Sea and Pacific Ocean, the Malacca Strait is by far the shortest maritime route connecting Persian Gulf energy producers to their largest consumers in countries like China, Japan, and South Korea. Continue reading
According to Robert Valencia, China is vying for greater economic influence in Latin America, to include possibly constructing and operating an alternative ‘Panama Canal’ through Nicaragua. One unanticipated consequence of this burgeoning US-China rivalry, Valencia observes, is that it might push Latin American countries closer together.
During the first weekend of June, U.S. President Barack Obama and Chinese President Xi Jinping met in California to discuss cyber espionage and territorial claims in the Pacific Rim. While tension on these topics has hogged the headlines, the fight for influence in another area could be even more important—Latin America. Other emerging markets in Africa, where China has an overwhelming influence due to foreign direct investment in mining and oil, also offer economic opportunities, but Latin America has an abundance of natural resources, greater purchasing power, and geographic proximity to the United States, which has long considered Latin America as its “backyard.” Continue reading
Although both items need to be constantly looked at (50/50), the fundamental data lately is seemingly overriding the technical data. Observing geopolitics on a regular basis shows you the big picture where you can use inductive reasoning to hammer out the specifics in planning your future, be it from an investment standpoint or personal.
Had anyone asked back in January what kind of risks you thought might be giving financial markets a jolt by mid-year, odds are that you would have talked about the Federal Reserve’s intentions with respect to quantitative easing, the outlook for economic growth and whether S&P 500 companies are delivering the kind of earnings that analysts had been expecting.
Perhaps, given recent history, you might have thrown out an additional concern: That some unforeseen event in Spain or Italy might buffet the Eurozone and spill over into North American markets—after all, that has become an almost routine summertime occurrence. Continue reading